Ecuador vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 1
JAM
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
VEN
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
CAN
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SLV
0 - 1
PER
15%
25%
60%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |