Ecuador vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
ECU
5 - 0
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
BRA
3 - 2
ECU
89%
9%
2%
|
85 | 100 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
ECU
2 - 0
VEN
80%
14%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
ECU
1 - 3
HND
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
PER
0 - 1
BRA
10%
20%
70%
|
86 | 100 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
SUI
0 - 1
PER
61%
24%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
COL
2 - 1
PER
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |