Ecuador vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
ROU
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 1
BLR
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1992 |
PER
1 - 1
ECU
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1992 |
ECU
1 - 1
CRC
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1992 |
URU
3 - 1
ECU
72%
20%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1993 |
USA
0 - 0
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1993 |
PER
0 - 2
ROU
26%
29%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
PER
1 - 1
BLR
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
PER
1 - 1
HND
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1993 |
VEN
0 - 0
PER
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |