Ecuador vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
2 - 1
URU
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
2 - 0
USA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
6 - 1
VEN
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 2
CHI
37%
30%
34%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
64%
23%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
48%
28%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
3 - 1
PAR
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1993 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
29%
30%
42%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |