Ecuador vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1979 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
CHI
0 - 0
ECU
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
CHI
3 - 0
ECU
79%
14%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
28%
23%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1979 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
PAR
2 - 0
ARG
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |