Ecuador vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
2 - 1
URU
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
2 - 0
USA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
6 - 1
VEN
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 2
CHI
37%
30%
34%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1993 |
CRC
0 - 2
MEX
31%
31%
38%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1993 |
PER
2 - 4
MEX
32%
30%
37%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
0 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
9%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
60%
24%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
COL
2 - 1
MEX
43%
29%
29%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |