Ecuador vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
53.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
HND
1 - 2
ECU
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
SUI
2 - 1
ECU
46%
24%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 2
ENG
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MEX
3 - 1
ECU
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
NED
1 - 1
ECU
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
SUI
2 - 5
FRA
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 0
HND
74%
18%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
8 - 0
JAM
80%
15%
4%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
FRA
4 - 0
NOR
66%
22%
12%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |