Ecuador vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
6 - 1
VEN
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 2
CHL
37%
30%
34%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
ROU
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 1
BLR
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
URY
1 - 0
USA
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1993 |
USA
3 - 4
DEU
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
USA
2 - 0
ENG
16%
28%
56%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
USA
0 - 2
BRA
14%
26%
60%
|
78 | 96 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1993 |
USA
0 - 0
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |