Ecuador vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
3%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2002 |
ECU
0 - 1
SEN
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
ECU
1 - 0
YUG
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
RSA
0 - 0
ECU
35%
28%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRO
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 1
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
HUN
0 - 2
CRO
39%
26%
36%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 0
BIH
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 0
SVN
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |