Ecuador vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
33.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
2 - 1
JAM
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 0
VEN
83%
12%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 1
CRC
51%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
ECU
3 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
COL
4 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
COL
3 - 1
URU
47%
28%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
30%
32%
38%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
COL
1 - 0
SCO
47%
27%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |