Ecuador vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 2
MEX
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
2 - 1
URU
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
2 - 0
USA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
6 - 1
VEN
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1993 |
COL
1 - 1
URU
45%
28%
26%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1993 |
COL
1 - 1
BOL
68%
21%
12%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
COL
2 - 1
MEX
43%
29%
29%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |