Ecuador vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
HND
1 - 1
ECU
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2001 |
SLV
0 - 1
ECU
33%
27%
39%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2001 |
USA
0 - 0
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
PER
1 - 2
ECU
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 1
URU
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
37%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
HND
3 - 1
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |