Ecuador vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
ROU
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 1
BLR
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1992 |
PER
1 - 1
ECU
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1992 |
ECU
1 - 1
CRC
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
COL
1 - 0
CHI
44%
29%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
61%
25%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOL
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1992 |
ISR
1 - 2
CHI
41%
29%
30%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1992 |
SLV
0 - 3
CHI
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |