Ecuador vs Chile analysis

Ecuador Chile
54 ELO 78
3.4% Tilt 1.3%
13860º General ELO ranking 129º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30%
Ecuador
21.1%
Draw
48.9%
Chile

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
Ecuador
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
48.9%
Win probability
Chile
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ecuador
+9%
-2%
Chile

ELO progression

Ecuador
Chile
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ecuador
Ecuador
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 1965
ECU
Ecuador
2 - 0
Colombia
COL
54%
20%
27%
52 60 8 0
20 Jul. 1965
COL
Colombia
0 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
68%
16%
16%
51 61 10 +1
31 Mar. 1963
ECU
Ecuador
4 - 3
Colombia
COL
58%
20%
23%
50 60 10 +1
27 Mar. 1963
BRA
Brazil
2 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
90%
7%
3%
49 90 41 +1
20 Mar. 1963
ARG
Argentina
4 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
85%
10%
5%
49 88 39 0

Matches

Chile
Chile
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 1965
COL
Colombia
2 - 0
Chile
CHI
31%
21%
48%
78 58 20 0
01 Aug. 1965
CHI
Chile
7 - 2
Colombia
COL
75%
14%
11%
78 59 19 0
21 Jul. 1965
CHI
Chile
1 - 1
Argentina
ARG
33%
25%
43%
78 89 11 0
14 Jul. 1965
ARG
Argentina
1 - 0
Chile
CHI
75%
15%
10%
78 88 10 0
16 May. 1965
URU
Uruguay
1 - 1
Chile
CHI
59%
21%
20%
78 82 4 0