Ecuador vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
53.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
ECU
2 - 2
ARG
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1983 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1983 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
CHI
2 - 0
ECU
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1983 |
CHI
0 - 0
BRA
15%
24%
62%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1983 |
SWE
3 - 3
BRA
17%
25%
57%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1983 |
SUI
1 - 2
BRA
14%
24%
62%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1983 |
WAL
1 - 1
BRA
16%
25%
60%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
POR
0 - 4
BRA
18%
26%
56%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |