Ecuador vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 0
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ARG
6 - 0
BOL
84%
12%
5%
|
75 | 96 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
COL
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
BOL
71%
17%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 0
VEN
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAN
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |