Ecuador vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1945 |
BRA
9 - 2
ECU
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BOL
0 - 0
ECU
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 2
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1945 |
URU
5 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
CHI
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1946 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
PAR
4 - 2
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
3 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
7%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |