Ecuador vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
VEN
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
2 - 1
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 1
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
ECU
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
1 - 0
JAM
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DMA
2 - 3
JAM
8%
17%
75%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
JAM
1 - 0
DOM
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
JAM
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
USA
3 - 1
JAM
78%
14%
7%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |