Ecuador vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 1
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
ECU
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
GTM
0 - 2
ECU
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BMU
1 - 6
HND
13%
21%
66%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
HND
3 - 1
CUB
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SLV
1 - 1
HND
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CRC
3 - 1
HND
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
HND
0 - 2
ISL
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |