Ecuador vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
3 - 0
VEN
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 2
ECU
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ECU
3 - 0
CHI
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
40%
27%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
HND
0 - 1
JAM
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BLZ
0 - 1
HND
9%
18%
73%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HND
1 - 1
CRC
27%
24%
48%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
PAN
0 - 1
HND
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SLV
1 - 2
HND
22%
24%
55%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |