Ecuador vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
ECU
1 - 1
IRN
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
ECU
0 - 2
VEN
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
ECU
1 - 2
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
PER
1 - 2
ECU
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
CAN
2 - 0
GTM
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
GTM
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
HND
0 - 2
GTM
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
1 - 0
GTM
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |