Ecuador vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
VEN
2 - 0
ECU
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
CRC
1 - 1
ECU
54%
25%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
ECU
1 - 0
CRO
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
3%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
CRC
1 - 1
ECU
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
CRC
2 - 5
BRA
2%
10%
88%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
CRC
1 - 1
TUR
54%
23%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
CHN
0 - 2
CRC
42%
24%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 0
CRC
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |