Ecuador vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
ECU
3 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
ECU
2 - 0
ARG
21%
27%
52%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
ECU
4 - 1
PER
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
QAT
1 - 2
ECU
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
PER
3 - 0
CRC
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
HND
0 - 0
CRC
37%
30%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
CRC
1 - 1
HND
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
CAN
0 - 1
CRC
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
SLV
2 - 1
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |