Ecuador vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
ZAM
1 - 4
ECU
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
JPN
3 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1995 |
ECU
1 - 2
SCO
30%
29%
40%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
ECU
0 - 0
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
PER
2 - 0
ECU
45%
26%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1995 |
CRC
0 - 1
KOR
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
USA
1 - 2
CRC
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
KSA
1 - 3
CRC
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRC
70%
20%
10%
|
82 | 96 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1994 |
CRC
0 - 0
NOR
40%
29%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |