Ecuador vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1992 |
URU
3 - 1
ECU
72%
20%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
CRC
2 - 1
ECU
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
GTM
1 - 1
ECU
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
3 - 1
ECU
81%
14%
5%
|
74 | 95 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1991 |
ECU
4 - 0
BOL
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
URU
2 - 1
CRC
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
CRC
2 - 1
ECU
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1992 |
SLV
1 - 1
CRC
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
CRC
2 - 0
SLV
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1992 |
CRC
0 - 0
USA
62%
21%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |