Denmark vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1979 |
DEN
4 - 0
NIR
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
IRL
2 - 0
DEN
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
NIR
2 - 1
DEN
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 2
BGR
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1979 |
SUN
2 - 2
HUN
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 0
CSK
62%
23%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1979 |
SUN
2 - 0
SWE
67%
21%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
BGR
76%
17%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 4
SUN
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |