Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
GRC
2 - 3
DEN
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
DEN
1 - 2
YUG
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
DEN
3 - 0
ISL
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
FIN
1 - 2
DEN
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
18%
20%
62%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 2
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
KSA
1 - 2
SWE
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
POR
1 - 2
SWE
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
GRC
2 - 1
SWE
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |