Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1979 |
IRL
2 - 0
DEN
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
NIR
2 - 1
DEN
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 2
BGR
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
DEN
3 - 4
ENG
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1979 |
SUN
2 - 0
SWE
67%
21%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
SWE
1 - 3
CSK
51%
26%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 2
SWE
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1978 |
SWE
2 - 1
FIN
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | +1 |