Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
34%
24%
43%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
DEN
1 - 2
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
BGR
3 - 1
DEN
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1977 |
SEN
2 - 3
DEN
30%
22%
48%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
GAM
1 - 4
DEN
34%
23%
44%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 1
SUI
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1977 |
SWE
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
SCO
3 - 1
SWE
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
SUI
1 - 2
SWE
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
17%
22%
61%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |