Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
NOR
0 - 4
DEN
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1963 |
DEN
4 - 0
ALB
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1963 |
DEN
2 - 3
ROU
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1963 |
DEN
1 - 1
FIN
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
HUN
6 - 0
DEN
87%
8%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
SWE
3 - 2
YUG
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
SWE
0 - 0
FIN
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 43 | 44 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1963 |
YUG
0 - 0
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1963 |
SUN
0 - 1
SWE
39%
23%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |