Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
44.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
DEN
1 - 1
DDR
84%
10%
7%
|
78 | 33 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
2 - 0
DEN
82%
11%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
YUG
3 - 1
DEN
85%
9%
6%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 0
HUN
37%
21%
42%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 1
TUN
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
SWE
4 - 0
SUI
87%
8%
4%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
CSK
2 - 1
SWE
40%
22%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
1 - 0
FRA
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
2 - 0
DEN
82%
11%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
2 - 0
BEL
83%
10%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |