Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
48%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
SWE
4 - 4
DEN
85%
9%
5%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1958 |
NED
5 - 1
DEN
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1958 |
DEN
1 - 1
GER
32%
22%
46%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1959 |
SWE
2 - 0
POR
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
SWE
4 - 4
DEN
85%
9%
5%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
35%
22%
43%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1958 |
FIN
1 - 7
SWE
31%
21%
48%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
5 - 2
SWE
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |