Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
23%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1934 |
DEN
4 - 2
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
BEL
2 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
33%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
DEN
2 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
SWE
2 - 3
DEN
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOR
68%
16%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1934 |
GER
2 - 1
SWE
52%
20%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
SWE
3 - 2
ARG
61%
19%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1934 |
SWE
4 - 2
POL
75%
13%
12%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
NOR
0 - 1
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
84%
9%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |