Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1930 |
FIN
1 - 6
DEN
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
DEN
8 - 0
FIN
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
DEN
2 - 5
NOR
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 2
DEN
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1928 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
SWE
1 - 0
SUI
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1929 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1929 |
SWE
10 - 0
LVA
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1929 |
SWE
4 - 1
EST
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
GER
3 - 0
SWE
46%
22%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |