Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1928 |
GER
2 - 1
DEN
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1928 |
NOR
2 - 3
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1928 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
GER
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 0
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1928 |
FIN
2 - 3
SWE
35%
22%
43%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 3
AUT
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1928 |
EST
0 - 1
SWE
31%
22%
46%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1928 |
LVA
0 - 4
SWE
32%
22%
45%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |