Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
SUI
2 - 0
DEN
42%
24%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1923 |
SWE
1 - 3
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
69%
16%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1923 |
DEN
3 - 2
SUI
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1923 |
CSK
2 - 0
DEN
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
3 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1924 |
SUI
2 - 1
SWE
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 0
EGY
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1924 |
SWE
8 - 1
BEL
49%
22%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 1
POL
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |