Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1917 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
51%
21%
27%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
DEN
12 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1917 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1916 |
DEN
8 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1918 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1917 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
51%
21%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1917 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1917 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |