Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1916 |
DEN
8 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1916 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
29%
24%
48%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1915 |
SWE
0 - 2
DEN
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1916 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1916 |
SWE
2 - 3
USA
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1916 |
SWE
6 - 0
NOR
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |