Denmark vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 1
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
LUX
0 - 2
DEN
17%
23%
60%
|
95 | 38 | 57 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 0
UKR
87%
10%
3%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
DEN
0 - 2
BIH
92%
6%
2%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ROU
4 - 0
LUX
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 38 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
UKR
0 - 2
ROU
24%
25%
51%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROU
45%
25%
30%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ROU
2 - 0
BIH
90%
8%
3%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
LTU
0 - 1
ROU
17%
22%
61%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |