Denmark vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
2 - 0
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
DEN
2 - 4
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1977 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
POL
4 - 1
DEN
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1977 |
FIN
1 - 2
DEN
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 0
IRL
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
IRL
80%
15%
5%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
POL
3 - 0
IRL
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
IRL
4 - 2
TUR
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 0
BGR
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |