Denmark vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1967 |
DEN
0 - 2
HUN
18%
22%
60%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
SWE
2 - 1
DEN
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
DEN
3 - 1
ISR
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
HUN
6 - 0
DEN
87%
8%
4%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1967 |
SWE
0 - 1
DDR
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
DDR
4 - 3
NED
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1967 |
GRC
0 - 5
DDR
45%
22%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 2
DDR
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
2 - 0
ROU
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +2 |