Denmark vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.6%
6.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
2 - 0
DEN
82%
11%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
YUG
3 - 1
DEN
85%
9%
6%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 0
HUN
37%
21%
42%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 1
TUN
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 1
POL
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 1
NED
21%
19%
60%
|
32 | 72 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
HUN
2 - 0
DDR
92%
6%
3%
|
32 | 92 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
MAR
2 - 3
DDR
80%
11%
9%
|
31 | 70 | 39 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
TUN
0 - 3
DDR
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
DDR
5 - 1
FIN
24%
22%
55%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +7 |