Denmark vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
DEN
13%
22%
65%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DEN
2 - 1
ARM
81%
14%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
DEN
1 - 2
TUR
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
DEN
1 - 0
SWE
44%
25%
31%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
HUN
2 - 2
DEN
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
POR
48%
25%
26%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
ALB
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
GHA
81%
14%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 2
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | -1 |