Denmark vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
DEN
0 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
POL
5 - 0
DEN
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1970 |
ISL
0 - 0
DEN
27%
21%
52%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 1
DEN
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
FIN
1 - 1
DEN
37%
22%
40%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1970 |
POR
1 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
ENG
1 - 0
POR
85%
11%
5%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
SUI
1 - 1
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ROU
1 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
POR
2 - 2
GRC
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |