Denmark vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1966 |
DEN
0 - 0
TUR
69%
17%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
WAL
4 - 2
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
DEN
1 - 1
GRC
67%
16%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
DEN
1 - 3
SUN
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
NOR
2 - 2
DEN
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1966 |
SCO
0 - 1
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
POR
4 - 0
NOR
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ROU
2 - 0
POR
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
POR
0 - 0
CSK
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1965 |
POR
0 - 0
BRA
24%
22%
54%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |