Denmark vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 2
ARG
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 1
FIN
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1960 |
DEN
7 - 2
GRC
67%
16%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 0
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
BGR
2 - 1
DEN
51%
21%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
POL
6 - 1
TUN
73%
14%
13%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1960 |
POL
4 - 0
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1960 |
SUN
7 - 1
POL
51%
20%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 May. 1960 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
POL
3 - 1
BRD
44%
22%
34%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +2 |