Denmark vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.1%
14.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 3
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
49%
21%
31%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
DEN
4 - 3
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
NED
3 - 0
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
DEN
5 - 1
FIN
80%
12%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
POL
1 - 1
GER
42%
21%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
LVA
3 - 3
POL
42%
22%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
YUG
9 - 3
POL
47%
20%
32%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 2
POL
61%
18%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1936 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |