Denmark vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
BEL
2 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
33%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
DEN
2 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
SWE
2 - 3
DEN
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOR
68%
16%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
DEN
3 - 1
SCO
89%
7%
4%
|
79 | 8 | 71 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
CSK
2 - 0
POL
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
BRD
1 - 0
POL
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
POL
1 - 2
CSK
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
POL
4 - 3
YUG
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
POL
0 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |