Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
POL
5 - 0
DEN
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1970 |
ISL
0 - 0
DEN
27%
21%
52%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 1
DEN
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
FIN
1 - 1
DEN
37%
22%
40%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1970 |
DEN
0 - 2
POL
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
NOR
2 - 4
SWE
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1970 |
ISL
2 - 0
NOR
44%
21%
35%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1970 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1970 |
NOR
0 - 2
CSK
31%
25%
43%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1969 |
GTM
1 - 3
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |