Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
12.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
31%
21%
47%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
SWE
4 - 1
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1964 |
HUN
3 - 1
DEN
88%
8%
5%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1964 |
DEN
0 - 3
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1963 |
DEN
1 - 0
LUX
77%
12%
11%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1964 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1964 |
NOR
3 - 2
SUI
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
NOR
1 - 4
IRL
43%
22%
35%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1963 |
SCO
6 - 1
NOR
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |